Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-30 0.000620 0.000665 0.000712 0.000763 0.000819 0.000877 0.000942
2025-12-07 0.000548 0.000611 0.000678 0.000756 0.000843 0.000938 0.001050
2025-12-14 0.000492 0.000565 0.000647 0.000744 0.000856 0.000983 0.001137
2025-12-21 0.000450 0.000530 0.000622 0.000734 0.000868 0.001024 0.001218
2025-12-28 0.000406 0.000489 0.000586 0.000708 0.000857 0.001034 0.001262
2026-01-04 0.000375 0.000460 0.000562 0.000693 0.000857 0.001056 0.001318
2026-01-11 0.000354 0.000443 0.000551 0.000692 0.000872 0.001096 0.001396
2026-01-18 0.000337 0.000429 0.000542 0.000693 0.000890 0.001138 0.001479
2026-01-25 0.000321 0.000415 0.000533 0.000692 0.000903 0.001175 0.001554
2026-02-01 0.000303 0.000397 0.000516 0.000681 0.000902 0.001193 0.001605
2026-02-08 0.000287 0.000381 0.000502 0.000672 0.000903 0.001212 0.001657
2026-02-15 0.000273 0.000368 0.000491 0.000665 0.000908 0.001235 0.001715
2026-02-22 0.000260 0.000355 0.000481 0.000661 0.000917 0.001267 0.001791
2026-03-01 0.000249 0.000344 0.000472 0.000660 0.000928 0.001304 0.001875
2026-03-08 0.000236 0.000330 0.000459 0.000651 0.000930 0.001326 0.001938
2026-03-15 0.000224 0.000318 0.000448 0.000643 0.000932 0.001348 0.002002
2026-03-22 0.000209 0.000300 0.000427 0.000621 0.000911 0.001336 0.002014
2026-03-29 0.000197 0.000287 0.000413 0.000608 0.000904 0.001344 0.002056
2026-04-05 0.000190 0.000279 0.000407 0.000607 0.000915 0.001378 0.002139
2026-04-12 0.000184 0.000273 0.000403 0.000608 0.000928 0.001417 0.002232
2026-04-19 0.000178 0.000267 0.000398 0.000607 0.000938 0.001449 0.002316
2026-04-26 0.000170 0.000257 0.000387 0.000597 0.000934 0.001460 0.002364
2026-05-03 0.000163 0.000249 0.000378 0.000589 0.000932 0.001474 0.002418